Fuzzy cognitive modelling for prevention risk situations on objects of critical infrastructures

Authors

  • Larisa Aleksandrovna Ginis FGAOU VO Yuzhnyy Federalnyy universitet (YuFU)
  • Anna Evgenevna Kolodenkova FGBOU VO «Ufimskiy gosudarstvennyy aviacionnyy tehnicheskiy universitet» (UGATU)

Keywords:

fuzzy cognitive model; pulse modelling; scientifically based decision; critical important objects.

Abstract

Fuzzy cognitive modelling for prevention of risk situations in the conditions of fuzzy basic data on objects of critical infrastructures is considered. The administrative structure of the nuclear power plants (NPP) in the form of fuzzy cognitive model is offered. The pessimistic and optimistic scenarios of possible development of risk situations in the NPP developed by means of pulse modelling are provided and their analysis is given. System indicators of fuzzy cognitive model are calculated. These factors allow to detect what of factors exert the greatest impact on all system and vice versa; to carry out search of the best values of factors in the conditions of fuzzy basic data.

Author Biographies

Larisa Aleksandrovna Ginis, FGAOU VO Yuzhnyy Federalnyy universitet (YuFU)

doc. kaf. IITiS. Dipl. inzh.-matem. (TRTI im. V. D. Kalmykova, 1989). Kand. ped. nauk (TGPI, 1999). Issl. model. i upr. v slozhnyh sistemah. Razrabotka teor. osnov metodov teorii upr. i prinyatiya resheniy v problemno-orientir. sistemah

Anna Evgenevna Kolodenkova, FGBOU VO «Ufimskiy gosudarstvennyy aviacionnyy tehnicheskiy universitet» (UGATU)

doc. kaf. TM. Dipl. inzh.-s/tehn. po ASOIU (UGATU, 2004). Kand. tehn. nauk (UGATU, 2007). Issl. v obl. atom. energetiki, program. inzhenerii, sis. analiza i upr. slozh. tehn. sistemami

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Published

2017-15-12

Issue

Vol. 21 No. 4 (78) (2017): Вестник УГАТУ

Section

INFORMATICS, COMPUTER ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT